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To avoid legislative oopsies, we need a system that analyzes and understands potential outcomes before a policy is implemented

Ah, the art of crafting legislation – where good intentions pave the way to unexpected headaches. Governments around the world, Canada included, love to roll out shiny new policies, all in the name of bettering our lives, boosting the economy, and solving society’s big problems. But here’s the catch: even the best-laid plans often go awry, leading to a whole slew of unintended consequences that our wise policymakers never saw coming.

Enter the idea of a Department of Unintended Consequences, a nifty little concept that could help us avoid these legislative oopsies before they spiral out of control.

Let’s take a stroll down memory lane of Justin Trudeau’s era – an endless treasure trove of well-meaning policies that somehow managed to trip over their own feet.

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Remember the carbon tax? It was supposed to be our saving grace in the fight against climate change. Just slap a price on carbon, and voilà – businesses and consumers would magically reduce their emissions. Except, surprise! It turned out that industries like agriculture and manufacturing, which rely heavily on energy, didn’t take too kindly to the increased costs. These costs got passed on to consumers, prices went up, and suddenly, Canadian businesses found themselves at a disadvantage compared to their less eco-conscious neighbours. Who could’ve guessed that making things more expensive might hurt competitiveness? Oh, wait …

Then there’s the 2017 small business tax changes – a masterclass in how to confuse and alienate your core supporters. The goal was simple: close those pesky loopholes that let the wealthy dodge taxes. But instead of just nailing the intended targets, the government managed to throw a wrench into the works for countless small business owners. These folks suddenly had to navigate a labyrinth of new rules, many of which inadvertently penalized legitimate business practices like income splitting within families. Cue the outrage and the inevitable backpedalling from the government. A standing ovation for this one, please.

And who could forget the mortgage stress test of 2018? Designed to protect Canadians from biting off more than they could chew in the housing market, this policy instead locked countless first-time buyers and young families out of the market entirely. Desperate to get a foot on the property ladder, some turned to alternative lenders with sky-high interest rates – because nothing says “fiscal responsibility” like paying more for less. Meanwhile, the housing market cooled down, dragging along the broader economy with it. But hey, at least we prevented a housing bubble, right? (That’s a rhetorical question.)

Let’s not overlook the federal infrastructure spending plan, either. The Trudeau government promised to shower us with infrastructure investments, which would theoretically create jobs and boost the economy. Fast forward to today, and we’re still waiting for many of those projects to break ground. Turns out getting the money out the door was a bit harder than expected. Who knew? Now, with delays piling up, the cost of these projects is rising thanks to inflation, leaving municipalities and provinces tapping their feet impatiently. So much for that economic stimulus.

But wait, there’s more! Remember the capital gains tax increase? It was floated as a way to make the rich pay their “fair share.” Sounds great, right? Except for the fact that it sent shockwaves through the investment community, causing many to panic-sell their assets to avoid getting hit with a higher tax bill. This brilliant idea managed to destabilize the market and hurt average Canadians who were counting on their investments for retirement. And let’s not forget the impact on real estate – homeowners who’d planned to sell were suddenly rethinking their decisions, leading to a slowdown in housing sales and, you guessed it, more economic uncertainty. Bravo!

All of these examples – each a sparkling gem of unintended outcomes – illustrate precisely why Canada could use a Department of Unintended Consequences. Picture it: a team dedicated to playing out all the “what ifs” before a new policy sees the light of day. They’d be the ultimate buzzkillers for overly enthusiastic, politically motivated lawmakers, running scenarios to see how businesses, consumers, and communities might react to the latest legislative brainwave. Maybe then we could avoid these lovely little surprises that always seem to pop up after the fact.

And let’s not forget the transparency factor. This department could make its findings public, giving Canadians a front-row seat to the unintended consequences of proposed laws. Imagine the lively public debates and the chance to hold our lawmakers accountable before they implement the next big idea that might just backfire spectacularly.

Sure, some naysayers might grumble that creating such a department could slow down the legislative process or add more bureaucracy. But let’s be real – what’s a little extra red tape compared to the joy of preventing yet another policy disaster? Plus, by catching these issues early, the department could save everyone time, money, and a whole lot of embarrassment in the long run.

In the end, the need for a Department of Unintended Consequences in Canada is glaringly obvious. The Trudeau era has given us more than enough examples of how even the best-intentioned policies can go horribly, hilariously wrong.

If we want to avoid more legislative landmines in the future, it’s high time we put some serious thought into this idea – before we find ourselves dealing with another round of unintended consequences that no one saw coming.


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